BDPolicy Lab

Evidence for the decisions that shape Bangladesh’s next decade.

Flagship Research

The State of Bangladesh Trade: Structure, Risk, and Strategy

Export concentration in RMG, import structure, trade balance dynamics, LDC graduation impact, and diversification pathways.

Flagship 2026-05-20 Read →
Daily Policy Advisor · 2026-05-30
Bangladesh's Fiscal Trajectory Crosses a Threat Threshold
Fiscal Policy and Debt Sustainability
Read today →

From raw sources to published analysis

44 Collectors 233 Data series 263.0k Observations 74 Analyzers

This month

Featured story & monthly column

The most recent long-form narrative, and a monthly Policy Analysis op-ed in English and Bangla on whatever's most consequential right now.

Bangladesh's Reform Stack, 2026
Stuck at Eight Percent
Bangladesh has not raised its tax-to-GDP ratio in three decades. Six months from LDC graduation, that floor has become the ceiling.
2026-05-16
Read the story →
Monthly Analysis · 2026-05-27
The Haat That Eats the Farmer
Bangladesh raises more sacrificial cattle than it needs, then prices each animal by eye, hauls it to Dhaka, and lets the market collapse over the final days at the farmer's expense. A weighing scale fixes most of it.
যে হাট কৃষককে খায়
Read in English · বাংলায় পড়ুন →

Latest research

All publications →

Every publication, in publication order. No editorial curation, no stale "featured" picks.

Brief
2026-05-29
CGE Analysis: LDC Graduation
CGE trade policy analysis for Bangladesh
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Narrative
2026-05-27
The Haat That Eats the Farmer
Bangladesh raises more sacrificial cattle than it needs, then prices each animal by eye, hauls it to Dhaka, and lets the market collapse over the final days at the farmer's expense. A weighing scale fixes most of it.
→
Narrative
2026-05-16
Where the Salt Is
Approximately 5.3 million Bangladeshis live below five metres of elevation. Salinity has already collapsed rice yields in the southwest. Adaptation is internal triage, not international advocacy.
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Narrative
2026-05-16
The Tariff Cliff
Bangladesh exports 62 percent of its goods to the EU and UK. From November 2029, those preferences end. The three-year grace window is for negotiation, not for delay.
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Narrative
2026-05-16
Stuck at Eight Percent
Bangladesh has not raised its tax-to-GDP ratio in three decades. Six months from LDC graduation, that floor has become the ceiling.
→

Browse by sector

All sectors →

58 sector modules grouped into 8 dimensions. Pick a thread.

Economy & Macro 0 Trade & Finance 1 Society & Governance 0 Energy & Environment 0 Spatial & Environment 30

Interactive platforms

Explore the state itself and the country it governs, built from primary records and satellite data, not static reports.

Government digital twin · শ্যাডো ক্যাবিনেট
Shadow Government Twin
428 government bodies mapped with budgets, officials, committees, and legal mandates. An AI shadow cabinet states each body's priorities, ranked by the live crisis hazards it owns or monitors.
Explore the twin →
Spatial atlas · satellite + survey
Bangladesh GIS
Ten district-level layers built from satellite and survey sources, including Meta relative wealth, VIIRS night-time lights, vegetation, land-surface temperature, air quality, rainfall, and surface water across 64 districts, with relative wealth down to 520 upazilas.
Open the atlas →

Live monitoring

All tools & models →

Hazard tracking and early warning for Bangladesh, computed live from primary forecasts and official series, not static snapshots.

Hazard scoreboard · সংকট পূর্বাভাস
Crisis Orb
Six tracked hazards for Bangladesh (BoP/FX, banking, cyclone, haor flood, dengue, air quality) grouped into macro-financial, climate, public health and urban categories. Bilingual cards with per-hazard drill-down and driver tables.
Open the orb →
Live · refreshed 4x/day · বাংলা
National Early Warning
Flood, heat, drought, and cyclone risk across all 8 divisions, with live crop-stage tracking for 8 field crops. Built from Open-Meteo forecasts and the DAE crop calendar. The tool itself opens in Bangla.
See the map →
Live, refreshed 4x/day
Haor Early Warning
Per-upazila Boro paddy harvest urgency for Sunamganj and Habiganj, computed live from Open-Meteo ECMWF IFS rainfall forecast over the upper Meghna catchment.
See the live state →
Methodology

44 institutional sources, 233 indicators. Every chart sourced; every brief AI-augmented and reviewed; nothing fabricated.

How this site is built →
Team

Shahida Pervin, PhD · Assistant Professor of Economics, Waseda University.

Md Deluair Hossen, PhD · Post-Doctoral Research Associate, University of Tennessee. Former Deputy Director, Bangladesh Bank.

Open data

World Bank, IMF, Bangladesh Bank, BBS, UN agencies, NASA, ESA, Google Earth Engine. Satellite tiles via Landsat, Sentinel-5P, MODIS, VIIRS, GRACE.

Browse the data →