Out-of-pocket health spend [short]
স্বাস্থ্যে নিজস্ব ব্যয়
Public health
state
crisis
score
97.0
as of
2026-06-08
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Forward outlook
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 79.24 to 84.48 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.
Drivers
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| wb oop health pct | 79.31 | - | 1.00 | 2023-12-31 |
Notes
oop_health_spend: Out-of-pocket health spend (% health exp) 79.3% (as of 2023-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. WHO health financing: out-of-pocket spending above ~40% of current health expenditure drives catastrophic and impoverishing costs (SDG 3.8); WHO recommends keeping OOP well below 20%. Forecast (naive, 24 obs): 81.6% in +3 steps; indicative range [79.2%, 84.5%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 49%). median trend reaches the warning line in about +1 step(s) Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.