Explore
Institutions
Bank Watch: scheduled banks tracked on stability metrics.
Parliament Watch: members and their activity.
Government Watch: the executive, tracked over time.
University Watch: the higher-education system, tracked.
NGO Watch: civil society and development NGOs, tracked.
Development Partner Watch: the donors, tracked.
Industry Association Watch: the apex chambers, tracked.
Early warning
The LDC 2029 graduation monitor.
The national early-warning board across hazards.
Early warning for the haor flood basin.
The multi-hazard exposure atlas, by district.
Where hazards compound across the same places.
A priority index ranking places by combined risk.
Cropland exposed to flood, heat, and salinity.
The bank distress watch: stress signals across banks.
The disaster ledger: events and losses over time.
কর-জিডিপি স্থবিরতা
Macro-financial
State
crisis
Score
89.5
As of
2026-07-21
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 6.27 to 8.83 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability.
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax revenue (% of GDP) | 7.6% | - | 1.00 | 2021-12-31 |
tax_gdp_low: Tax revenue (percent of GDP) 7.6% (as of 2021-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. Bands anchored to the 15 percent tax-to-GDP development benchmark (World Bank, IMF). Forecast (local_level, 21 obs): 7.8% in +3 steps; indicative range [6.3%, 8.8%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 44%). median trend reaches the warning line in about +1 step(s) Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.