Explore
Institutions
Bank Watch: scheduled banks tracked on stability metrics.
Parliament Watch: members and their activity.
Government Watch: the executive, tracked over time.
University Watch: the higher-education system, tracked.
NGO Watch: civil society and development NGOs, tracked.
Development Partner Watch: the donors, tracked.
Industry Association Watch: the apex chambers, tracked.
Early warning
The LDC 2029 graduation monitor.
The national early-warning board across hazards.
Early warning for the haor flood basin.
The multi-hazard exposure atlas, by district.
Where hazards compound across the same places.
A priority index ranking places by combined risk.
Cropland exposed to flood, heat, and salinity.
The bank distress watch: stress signals across banks.
The disaster ledger: events and losses over time.
হাম, এইচএফএমডি
Public health
State
watch
Score
22.1
As of
2026-07-22
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Projected range over the next 3 steps: -4151.47 to 7147.65 (80% interval, coverage validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability.
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| who measles cases bgd | 247.00 | - | 1.00 | 2024-12-31 |
measles_hfmd: Measles / HFMD outbreaks (reported measles cases per year) 247 (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. WHO measles elimination standard: <1 confirmed case per million population/year (used consistently across WHO regions and PAHO). WHO/WHA 2010 control milestone: <5 cases per million/year. Bands translated to absolute case counts for Banglad Forecast (damped_ets, 50 obs): 1,025 in +3 steps; 80% interval [-4,151, 7,148] (coverage validated at 85%). P(crosses the warning line within +3) = 7% Interval coverage validated; these are band-crossing likelihoods of the indicator against its benchmark line, not a validated crisis probability.