Maternal mortality plateau [short]
মাতৃমৃত্যু স্থবিরতা
Public health
state
watch
score
32.9
as of
2026-06-08
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Forward outlook
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 90.57 to 111.22 (80% interval, coverage validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.
Drivers
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| wb maternal mortality ratio | 115.00 | - | 1.00 | 2023-12-31 |
Notes
maternal_mortality: Maternal mortality plateau (per 100k) 115 per 100k (as of 2023-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. SDG 3.1 target: maternal mortality <70 per 100,000 live births by 2030. WHO MMR groupings: low <100, moderate 100-299, high 300-499, very high >=500. Forecast (local_linear_trend, 24 obs): 99 per 100k in +3 steps; 80% interval [91 per 100k, 111 per 100k] (coverage validated at 69%). P(crosses the warning line within +3) = 0% Interval coverage validated; these are band-crossing likelihoods of the indicator against its benchmark line, not a validated crisis probability.