Explore
Institutions
Bank Watch: scheduled banks tracked on stability metrics.
Parliament Watch: members and their activity.
Government Watch: the executive, tracked over time.
University Watch: the higher-education system, tracked.
NGO Watch: civil society and development NGOs, tracked.
Development Partner Watch: the donors, tracked.
Industry Association Watch: the apex chambers, tracked.
Early warning
The LDC 2029 graduation monitor.
The national early-warning board across hazards.
Early warning for the haor flood basin.
The multi-hazard exposure atlas, by district.
Where hazards compound across the same places.
A priority index ranking places by combined risk.
Cropland exposed to flood, heat, and salinity.
The bank distress watch: stress signals across banks.
The disaster ledger: events and losses over time.
মূল্যস্ফীতি ব্যবস্থা
Macro-financial
State
elevated
Score
57.7
As of
2026-07-23
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 7.29 to 11.60 (80% interval, coverage validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability.
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI inflation (YoY) | 8.8% | - | 1.00 | 2025-12-31 |
inflation_regime: CPI inflation (year on year) 8.8% (as of 2025-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. Bands anchored to the Bangladesh Bank medium-term inflation target (about 5.5 to 6 percent). Forecast (naive, 26 obs): 8.8% in +3 steps; 80% interval [7.3%, 11.6%] (coverage validated at 71%). Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.