-0.24 m
Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development BoardAs of 2026-09-04
Next steps
Climate and weather
Riverine flood is classified Elevated at -0.24 m, observed through 2026-09-04. That observation is 7 days old. It is older than this source's publication cadence supports (one official report per day), so this is the latest published reading, not a current one.
-0.24 m
Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development BoardAs of 2026-09-04
Elevated
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: Not available.
Source: BDPolicyLab assessmentAs of 2026-09-04
Unchanged
Stale observation
Source: BDPolicyLab comparable assessmentsAs of 7 Sept 2026, 05:52
Stale observation. Cadence basis: daily official reporting.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb Updated 2026-09-06
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenchuganj water level relative to danger level | -0.24 m | 2026-09-04 | Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development Board |
| Dalia water level relative to danger level | -0.27 m | 2026-09-04 | Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development Board |
| Markuli water level relative to danger level | -0.33 m | 2026-09-04 | Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development Board |
| Barishal water level relative to danger level | -0.38 m | 2026-09-04 | Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development Board |
| Tarapur water level relative to danger level | -0.44 m | 2026-09-04 | Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development Board |
| Chandpur water level relative to danger level | -0.56 m | 2026-09-04 | Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development Board |
Districts ranked by population in the 100-year floodplain. Exposure sources: JRC/CEMS_GLOFAS/FloodHazard/v2_1, RP100 100-year return-period layer, WorldPop/GP/100m/pop, Bangladesh 2020, 100 m. See the exposure atlas.
| District | Division | population in the 100-year floodplain |
|---|---|---|
| Jhalokati | Barisal | 98.3% |
| Pirojpur | Barisal | 97.5% |
| Lakshmipur | Chittagong | 96.9% |
| Gopalganj | Dhaka | 96.4% |
| Barguna | Barisal | 96.1% |
| Barisal | Barisal | 96% |
| Madaripur | Dhaka | 94.8% |
| Shariatpur | Dhaka | 94.1% |
Comparable assessments
Current movement: Unchanged
High concern
12 Aug 2026, 20:26 to 17 Aug 2026, 09:15
42 comparable assessments.
Elevated
17 Aug 2026, 09:29 to 17 Aug 2026, 12:44
5 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
17 Aug 2026, 15:44 to 18 Aug 2026, 06:18
7 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
18 Aug 2026, 09:18 to 18 Aug 2026, 12:18
2 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
18 Aug 2026, 15:18 to 19 Aug 2026, 09:24
11 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
19 Aug 2026, 12:24
1 comparable assessment, following High concern.
High concern
19 Aug 2026, 15:24 to 20 Aug 2026, 08:51
9 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
20 Aug 2026, 11:51 to 23 Aug 2026, 09:02
56 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
23 Aug 2026, 11:59 to 25 Aug 2026, 03:58
47 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
25 Aug 2026, 09:55 to 28 Aug 2026, 14:43
81 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
28 Aug 2026, 17:39 to 29 Aug 2026, 08:43
18 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
29 Aug 2026, 11:39 to 29 Aug 2026, 14:42
6 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
29 Aug 2026, 17:39 to 30 Aug 2026, 08:43
18 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
30 Aug 2026, 11:39 to 30 Aug 2026, 14:42
6 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
30 Aug 2026, 17:39 to 31 Aug 2026, 08:42
18 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
31 Aug 2026, 11:39 to 31 Aug 2026, 14:42
5 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
31 Aug 2026, 17:39 to 1 Sept 2026, 08:27
21 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
1 Sept 2026, 11:23 to 1 Sept 2026, 14:26
6 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
1 Sept 2026, 17:23 to 2 Sept 2026, 07:30
24 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
2 Sept 2026, 10:25 to 2 Sept 2026, 13:30
7 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
2 Sept 2026, 16:25 to 3 Sept 2026, 06:55
25 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
3 Sept 2026, 09:52 to 3 Sept 2026, 12:56
7 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
3 Sept 2026, 15:52 to 4 Sept 2026, 06:57
18 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
4 Sept 2026, 09:52 to 7 Sept 2026, 05:52
87 comparable assessments, following High concern.
Decision architecture
These are linked records, not recommendations. They identify documented responsibility, published policy work, and modelled instruments that have passed their respective public gates.
Owns
Disaster preparedness, emergency response, relief distribution, and rehabilitation
Authority: Constitution of Bangladesh, Article 55; Rules of Business 1996
Owns
Flood control, drainage improvement, irrigation infrastructure, river management, and water resources development projects
Authority: Bangladesh Water Development Board Act 2000
Grounded prescription
Stand Up a Live Riverine Flood Watch for the Brahmaputra, Padma, and Meghna Before the Next Monsoon PeakBangladesh's three main rivers breach danger stages each monsoon, yet MoDMR has no live flood indicator feeding decisions; this brief sequences a public danger-stage tracker, pre-agreed evacuation triggers, and anticipatory cash to cut losses.
Research · Related
Bangladesh Climate Vulnerability AssessmentResearch · Related
Groundwater in Bangladesh: Depletion, Arsenic, and SustainabilityResearch · Primary
River Erosion Monitor: Satellite Evidence and Human CostResearch · Related
Water & Wetland Health: Rivers, Haors, and Transboundary RisksThis current-condition assessment uses the detector's ordered source observations. Its category follows the most severe current observation; it does not use threshold bands, a level score, or a forecast.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.
Sources: Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre, Bangladesh Water Development Board