Tuberculosis burden [short]
যক্ষ্মা
Public health
state
warning
score
71.8
as of
2026-06-08
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Forward outlook
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 221.00 to 221.00 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.
Drivers
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| wb tb incidence per 100k | 221.00 | - | 1.00 | 2024-12-31 |
Notes
tuberculosis: Tuberculosis burden (per 100k) 221 per 100k (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. WHO End TB Strategy: pre-elimination <10 per 100,000; low-burden threshold <100; Bangladesh is a WHO high-TB-burden country. Forecast (naive, 25 obs): 221 per 100k in +3 steps; indicative range [221 per 100k, 221 per 100k] (interval coverage not validated, measured 100%). median trend reaches the warning line in about +1 step(s) Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.