Teacher quality [short]
শিক্ষকের গুণমান
Human development
state
elevated
score
44.2
as of
2026-06-08
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Forward outlook
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 70.44 to 95.41 (80% interval, coverage validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.
Drivers
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| wb trained teachers primary | 77.88 | - | 1.00 | 2024-12-31 |
Notes
teacher_quality: Teacher quality (% of primary school teachers who are trained) 77.9% (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. UNESCO GEM Report / SDG 4.c.1 data: global primary average 85% trained (2023); low-income country average 78% (2024, down from 89% in 2013); UNESCO flags <80% as alert zone (31 of 96 countries below this threshold in GEM dataset); sub-Sahar Forecast (naive, 16 obs): 89.5% in +3 steps; 80% interval [70.4%, 95.4%] (coverage validated at 71%). P(crosses the warning line within +3) = 0% Interval coverage validated; these are band-crossing likelihoods of the indicator against its benchmark line, not a validated crisis probability.