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Child stunting [short]

শিশু খর্বতা

Public health

state

elevated

score

47.2

as of

2026-06-08

crisis skill: indicative forecast intervals: under-covering

"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.

Forward outlook

Projected range over the next 3 steps: 10.38 to 18.92 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).

Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.

Drivers

Indicator Value z-score Weight As of
wb stunting pct 23.60 - 1.00 2022-12-31

Notes

stunting: Child stunting (% under-5) 23.6% (as of 2022-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. WHO/UNICEF/World Bank Joint Malnutrition Estimates public-health-significance thresholds (de Onis et al 2019): stunting 10-20% medium, 20-30% high, >=30% very high. Forecast (local_linear_trend, 16 obs): 12.0% in +3 steps; indicative range [10.4%, 18.9%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 62%). Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.