Explore
Institutions
Bank Watch: scheduled banks tracked on stability metrics.
Parliament Watch: members and their activity.
Government Watch: the executive, tracked over time.
University Watch: the higher-education system, tracked.
NGO Watch: civil society and development NGOs, tracked.
Development Partner Watch: the donors, tracked.
Industry Association Watch: the apex chambers, tracked.
Early warning
The LDC 2029 graduation monitor.
The national early-warning board across hazards.
Early warning for the haor flood basin.
The multi-hazard exposure atlas, by district.
Where hazards compound across the same places.
A priority index ranking places by combined risk.
Cropland exposed to flood, heat, and salinity.
The bank distress watch: stress signals across banks.
The disaster ledger: events and losses over time.
প্রকৃত মজুরি ক্ষয়
Macro-financial
State
watch
Score
22.9
As of
2026-07-24
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 0.61 to 6.53 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability.
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| wb ne con prvt pc kd zg | 4.71 | - | 1.00 | 2024-12-31 |
real_wage_erosion: Household consumption per capita growth (% annual, constant prices; proxy for real-income erosion) 4.7% (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. World Bank Shared Prosperity target (SDG 8.1.2): bottom-40% consumption/income growth >2%/yr as equity floor; 0% is the absolute welfare contraction threshold universally applied in poverty analytics; IMF/World Bank Macro Poverty Outlook us Forecast (damped_ets, 25 obs): 4.3% in +3 steps; indicative range [0.6%, 6.5%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 58%). Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.