Hypertension [short]
উচ্চ রক্তচাপ
Public health
state
watch
score
39.3
as of
2026-06-08
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Forward outlook
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 29.29 to 29.78 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.
Drivers
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| who hypertension prevalence agestd | 28.80 | - | 1.00 | 2019-12-31 |
Notes
hypertension: Hypertension (% adults 30-79 (age-standardized)) 28.8% (as of 2019-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. WHO Global NCD Action Plan 2013-2020 (extended 2030), Target 6: 25% reduction in global prevalence of raised blood pressure by 2025 from 2010 baseline. 2010 global baseline ~31.1% (NCD-RisC/Lancet 2021, PMID 34450084), giving a 2025 target Forecast (local_linear_trend, 30 obs): 29.5% in +3 steps; indicative range [29.3%, 29.8%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 56%). Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.