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Diabetes prevalence [short]

ডায়াবেটিস

Public health

state

warning

score

71.9

as of

2026-06-08

crisis skill: indicative forecast intervals: under-covering

"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.

Forward outlook

Projected range over the next 3 steps: 18.66 to 18.84 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).

Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability. See Notes for the band-crossing detail.

Drivers

Indicator Value z-score Weight As of
who diabetes prevalence agestd 17.91 - 1.00 2022-12-31

Notes

diabetes_prevalence: Diabetes prevalence (% adults 18+ (age-standardized)) 17.9% (as of 2022-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. IDF Diabetes Atlas 10th edition (2021): global age-standardized comparative prevalence = 10.5% (adults 20-79, UN world population standard); SEA region = ~9.6-9.8% in 2021, projected 13.2% by 2050. Bands set: calm <8% (below all major regio Forecast (local_linear_trend, 33 obs): 18.8% in +3 steps; indicative range [18.7%, 18.8%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 43%). median trend reaches the warning line in about +1 step(s) Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.