Explore
Institutions
Bank Watch: scheduled banks tracked on stability metrics.
Parliament Watch: members and their activity.
Government Watch: the executive, tracked over time.
University Watch: the higher-education system, tracked.
NGO Watch: civil society and development NGOs, tracked.
Development Partner Watch: the donors, tracked.
Industry Association Watch: the apex chambers, tracked.
Early warning
The LDC 2029 graduation monitor.
The national early-warning board across hazards.
Early warning for the haor flood basin.
The multi-hazard exposure atlas, by district.
Where hazards compound across the same places.
A priority index ranking places by combined risk.
Cropland exposed to flood, heat, and salinity.
The bank distress watch: stress signals across banks.
The disaster ledger: events and losses over time.
ঢাকায় অভিবাসন চাপ
Demography
State
elevated
Score
52.2
As of
2026-07-22
"Indicative" means no validated crisis-prediction skill: the labelled-episode record is too thin to score a crisis probability, so the page shows the benchmark-anchored state and (where available) the forecast trajectory only, never a crisis probability.
Projected range over the next 3 steps: 3.42 to 4.11 (indicative range, interval coverage not validated).
Forecast from a damped-trend or unobserved-components model chosen by out-of-sample error against naive persistence; intervals from leave-future-out residuals. This is a statement about where the indicator is heading against its benchmark line, not a crisis probability.
| Indicator | Value | z-score | Weight | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| wb sp urb grow | 2.82 | - | 1.00 | 2024-12-31 |
dhaka_in_migration: Dhaka in-migration overload (annual urban population growth rate (%)) 2.8% (as of 2024-12-31); level-anchored thresholds. World Bank WDI SP.URB.GROW: global average 1.72% (2024); UN-Habitat / World Urbanization Prospects 2025: LMIC average ~2.5%, Sub-Saharan Africa ~4% (high-stress, associated with rapid slum formation), >5% seen only in acute conflict/displac Forecast (local_linear_trend, 25 obs): 3.6% in +3 steps; indicative range [3.4%, 4.1%] (interval coverage not validated, measured 58%). Indicative trajectory, not a validated crisis probability.