52 km/h
Source: Open-Meteo weather forecast documentationAs of 2026-09-11
Next steps
Climate and weather
Cyclone is classified High concern at 52 km/h, observed through 2026-09-11. That observation is 1 hour old.
52 km/h
Source: Open-Meteo weather forecast documentationAs of 2026-09-11
High concern
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation. Benchmark stress score: Not available.
Source: BDPolicyLab assessmentAs of 2026-09-11
Unchanged
Current for source cadence
Source: BDPolicyLab comparable assessmentsAs of 12 Sept 2026, 04:38
Current for source cadence. Cadence basis: frequent official or forecast observation.
Source: BDPolicyLab Crisis Orb Updated 2026-09-11
| Evidence | Reading | Observed through | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khulna 7d max gust | 52 km/h | 2026-09-11 | Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Barisal 7d max gust | 52 km/h | 2026-09-11 | Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Sylhet 7d max gust | 42 km/h | 2026-09-11 | Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Chittagong 7d max gust | 51 km/h | 2026-09-11 |
Districts ranked by population below 5 m elevation. Exposure sources: FABDEM v1.2 bare-earth elevation, 30 m, WorldPop/GP/100m/pop, Bangladesh 2020, 100 m. See the exposure atlas.
| District | Division | population below 5 m elevation |
|---|---|---|
| Jhalokati | Barisal | 99.5% |
| Patuakhali | Barisal | 99.1% |
| Barguna | Barisal | 99% |
| Pirojpur | Barisal | 98.9% |
| Barisal | Barisal | 96.2% |
Comparable assessments
Current movement: Unchanged
High concern
13 Aug 2026, 08:49 to 19 Aug 2026, 03:24
59 comparable assessments.
Elevated
19 Aug 2026, 06:24 to 21 Aug 2026, 01:38
19 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
21 Aug 2026, 01:57 to 21 Aug 2026, 04:24
14 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
21 Aug 2026, 07:05 to 22 Aug 2026, 02:38
14 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
22 Aug 2026, 05:38
1 comparable assessment, following Elevated.
Decision architecture
These are linked records, not recommendations. They identify documented responsibility, published policy work, and modelled instruments that have passed their respective public gates.
Owns
Disaster preparedness, emergency response, relief distribution, and rehabilitation
Authority: Constitution of Bangladesh, Article 55; Rules of Business 1996
Owns
Weather forecasting, climate monitoring, cyclone warning, seismological observation, and aviation meteorological services
Authority: Rules of Business 1996
Grounded prescription
Two cyclone seasons a year: making the Ministry of Disaster Management and Relief ready before each Bay of Bengal windowBangladesh faces twice-yearly Bay of Bengal cyclone risk, and the Ministry of Disaster Management and Relief should harden last-mile warning, shelter readiness, and post-event payout systems before each pre-monsoon and post-monsoon season.
Research · Related
Bangladesh Climate Vulnerability AssessmentThis current-condition assessment uses the detector's ordered source observations. Its category follows the most severe current observation; it does not use threshold bands, a level score, or a forecast.
BDPolicyLab analytical classification based on the stated assessment basis. It is not an official agency designation.
No public forecast is shown because the validation or time-unit requirement was not met.
| Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Rajshahi 7d max gust | 44 km/h | 2026-09-11 | Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Rangpur 7d max gust | 38 km/h | 2026-09-11 | Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Mymensingh 7d max gust | 36 km/h | 2026-09-11 | Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Dhaka 7d max gust | 40 km/h | 2026-09-11 | Open-Meteo weather forecast documentation |
| Bagerhat | Khulna | 95.7% |
| Bhola | Barisal | 95.5% |
| Chandpur | Chittagong | 93.5% |
Elevated
22 Aug 2026, 08:38 to 22 Aug 2026, 20:38
5 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
22 Aug 2026, 23:35 to 26 Aug 2026, 03:59
84 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
26 Aug 2026, 06:55 to 26 Aug 2026, 12:55
7 comparable assessments, following High concern.
High concern
26 Aug 2026, 12:57 to 5 Sept 2026, 03:57
254 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Watch
5 Sept 2026, 06:52 to 5 Sept 2026, 12:52
8 comparable assessments, following High concern.
Elevated
5 Sept 2026, 12:54 to 5 Sept 2026, 18:52
6 comparable assessments, following Watch.
High concern
5 Sept 2026, 18:54 to 6 Sept 2026, 03:57
11 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Elevated
6 Sept 2026, 08:13 to 7 Sept 2026, 05:52
41 comparable assessments, following High concern.
Watch
7 Sept 2026, 05:57 to 8 Sept 2026, 03:56
24 comparable assessments, following Elevated.
Stable
8 Sept 2026, 06:30 to 8 Sept 2026, 08:07
4 comparable assessments, following Watch.
Watch
8 Sept 2026, 08:15 to 8 Sept 2026, 14:20
8 comparable assessments, following Stable.
Elevated
8 Sept 2026, 14:23 to 8 Sept 2026, 20:20
6 comparable assessments, following Watch.
High concern
8 Sept 2026, 20:24 to 12 Sept 2026, 04:38
83 comparable assessments, following Elevated.